Thumbnail for War with Iran + Pentagon vs Anthropic with Under Secretary of War Emil Michael

War with Iran + Pentagon vs Anthropic with Under Secretary of War Emil Michael


Episode Details
Channel

All-In Podcast

Published

3/6/2026

Episode Summary

The emergency episode of the All-In Podcast features Emil Michael, Under Secretary of War, who works directly for Pete Hegseth at the Department of Defense. The primary focus is the War with Iran (Operation Epic Fury), a decisive military action authorized by Donald Trump. The operation resulted in the death of Ali Khamenei and heavily degraded the IRGC, which had been threatening to shut down the Strait of Hormuz. The co-hosts, including David Friedberg, Chamath Palihapitiya, and Jason Calacanis, discuss how this conflict, along with the recent ousting of Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela, creates immense geopolitical leverage over China and the Chinese Communist Party. By disrupting the flow of oil to China, the US aims to secure a grand bargain that could prevent an invasion of Taiwan. The geopolitical turmoil has severely impacted Oil prices and the Maritime insurance market. When Lloyds of London and other insurers faced skyrocketing risks, the US International Development Finance Corporation intervened to underwrite shipping risks. The panel also explores modern warfare and Defense Tech, highlighting the shift toward Autonomous Drones and advanced interception systems like Israel's Iron Beam, which utilizes Directed energy lasers. Discussions also touch upon the potential for Space-based lasers to counter Hypersonic missile threats, relying heavily on agile contractors like Anduril rather than just traditional primes like Boeing and Lockheed Martin. A major segment covers a significant AI Regulation dispute: the Department of Defense formally labeled anthropic, led by CEO Dario Amodei, a Supply Chain Security risk. anthropic restricted the military's use of its AI Models, notably Claude, citing ideological terms of service, despite their models being hosted on AWS GovCloud (part of AWS) and served via Palantir. In contrast, Emil Michael praised the cooperation of OpenAI (led by Sam Altman), Google (offering its Gemini model), and Elon Musk's Grok for allowing all lawful use. The administration's demand for patriotic alignment was compared to the cooperation seen from Apple's Tim Cook. Finally, the podcast highlights initiatives to rebuild America's industrial base. The Office of Strategic Capital and DARPA are heavily investing in domesticating the supply of Critical minerals to reduce reliance on foreign adversaries and ensure complete technological dominance.

Investment Ideas
Key Topics & People
Elon Musk
Elon Musk
Person

Billionaire entrepreneur proposing space-based AI compute and modular energy solutions.

CEO of Anthropic, noted for navigating regulatory hurdles surrounding AI model releases.

anthropic
Organization

AI company and creator of Claude models, reportedly valued at $3 trillion in future predictions.

OpenAI
OpenAI
Organization

Leading AI research laboratory developing frontier models and exploring new custom chips.

China
China
PoliticalEntity

The geopolitical and technological competitor to the US in artificial intelligence.

Investor and podcast host analyzing AI infrastructure, politics, and markets.

Investor and podcast host moderating discussions on startups and tech markets.

Host of the All-In Podcast conducting the interview with Ryan Cohen.

Israel
Israel
PoliticalEntity

Nation heavily involved in Middle Eastern conflicts that is observing the conditions of the Iran deal.

Critical maritime chokepoint designated to be reopened as part of the peace agreement.

US President who announced the brokering of a comprehensive Middle Eastern peace deal.

Iran
Iran
PoliticalEntity

Middle Eastern nation at the center of a major geopolitical peace deal involving the surrender of nuclear material.

AI Models
Technology

General term for artificial intelligence systems, currently facing intense scrutiny and regulatory hurdles.

Gemini
Technology

Google's flagship AI model, used as a hypothetical comparison to Anthropic's release strategy.

Grok
Grok
Technology

AI model created by xAI, noted for its creators' differing political leanings.

Google
Google
Organization

Major technology company and hyperscaler developing its own frontier AI models like Gemini.

Secretary of War who clashed with Anthropic during military contract negotiations.

Claude
Technology

Anthropic's popular AI assistant that was asked to psychoanalyze its creator, Dario Amodei.

Ongoing geopolitical conflict impacting global inflation.

CEO of OpenAI.

The ruling party of China, explicitly accused of funding opposition and disinformation against US data centers.

Taiwan
Taiwan
Location

An island nation heavily arming itself and shifting defense budgets, driving demand for materials.

Boeing
Boeing
Organization

A major aerospace company experiencing a massive backlog that will require significant material resources.

Essential raw materials required for infrastructure, technological advancement, and national security.

Unmanned aerial vehicles utilized for logistics and medical deliveries.

Anduril
Anduril
Organization

A defense technology company operating and trading heavily in the private secondary markets.

Tim Cook
Tim Cook
Person

The outgoing CEO of Apple who executed a masterclass in capital allocation, share buybacks, and privacy, but faced critiques on raw innovation.

Palantir
Organization

A data software firm where David Sacks was an early private investor who sold prematurely.

AWS
Organization

Amazon Web Services, a cloud service provider integrated into OpenAI's multi-cloud strategy.

The debated legal and policy frameworks intended to govern the development and deployment of artificial intelligence.

The sector comprising technology companies that build software and hardware for national security and military applications.

An investor reportedly deploying $200 billion in capital into defense technology through Deal Team Six.

A government office actively investing in and securing critical supply chains for national defense.

Lockheed Martin
Lockheed Martin
Organization

A major traditional defense prime contractor responsible for historic aerospace innovations but now part of the consolidated defense base.

The executive branch department of the US federal government responsible for national security and the military.

The Ayatollah and Supreme Leader of Iran.

Global commodity experiencing significant price spikes due to Middle East conflict.

Venezuela
Venezuela
Location

Country where a recent US-backed regime change operation took out Nicolas Maduro.

IRGC
Organization

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the primary military and terror structure of the Islamic regime that was dismantled.

DARPA
DARPA
Organization

Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, currently researching bio-synthesized critical minerals and cyber warfare.

AWS GovCloud
Technology

Amazon's secure cloud infrastructure built specifically for government clients.

Proposed orbital defense systems designed to neutralize incoming ICBMs and hypersonic threats.

US government agency stepping in to underwrite maritime insurance for commercial shippers.

Advanced weapon systems utilizing lasers to shoot down aerial threats.

Iron Beam
Iron Beam
Technology

Directed energy laser defense system utilized in Israel.

Coverage for cargo ships, which became critically scarce and expensive due to the Middle East conflict.

Lloyds of London
Organization

The world's biggest reinsurance market, historically underwriting maritime risks.

The protection of critical technological and industrial resources from interference or external reliance.

Ultra-fast missile technology necessitating automated AI defense responses.

Former leader of Venezuela, recently deposed in a highly precise US raid.